Preacher Man - I appreciate the thoughtfulness of your response...let me try to clarify without posting endless quotes.
My points ties back to post no. 1. I don't see any scientific evidence that witching is a valid method for locating anything. If anything, there is some evidence that points the other direction. My considerable personal experience (deviating from the original post for a second) with witching does not in any way support it's validity. I don't care a lick people whether or not people claim that dowsing is natural or supernatural...I just care if there's some valid evidence.
My comment about you "missing the point" was in reference to your comment that lack of scientific support for an event is not evidence or proof that the event is not real or that it is supernatural. Two things about that... First, I'll fall back on Sagan's quote..."Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." The more extreme the claim the more powerful and compelling the evidence needs to be. The statement "Joe went to the store to pick up a pack of smokes" really doesn't require a bundle of compelling evidence because we know that there are people named Joe, who go to stores, and they buy smokes. The statement "Larry eats raw chicken heads and has conversations with the dead" falls outside the realm of our "ordinary" experience and knowledge and would require extraordinary evidence. Second, burden of proof lies on those making the claim. I could claim that Leroy the invisible purple gnome is sitting on my left shoulder. The proof is, of course, that it rains. Leroy causes rain...and you believe in rain...right? And yes, the claim that witching is valid (supernatural or natural, I don't care) did come first or the conversation wouldn't exist. All that said...lack of valid evidence for an event does not take the event out of the realm of possibility, but it does not lend the event even an inkling of credibility.
Okay, we've really deviated from the original intent of the thread, but it's a fun exercise anyway isn't it?
It is definitely an interesting and fun exercise for me. I quite enjoy though provoking, intelligent conversation, and you sir are definitely an intelligent, well informed man.
I'll share my thoughts, just so you know what I think and get some understanding on my point of view. Although I'd love to debate this, I don't want to hijack the thread, and we need to get it back on track. Pity.
Please know that I understand your position and I do respect it. I have reservations with it, though. This deserves a more developed presentation, but this is not the place for it. I'll try to be as brief and clear as possible. Please excuse my rushing through this.
I love Sagan, read a few of his books and loved Cosmos, but his "extraordinary claims" quote wasn't quite original. He was building on a concept/argument originally proposed by David Hume. The problem I have with it is that there is a built-in logical trap in it. The argument redefines the nature of evidence. Evidence is evidence, but extraordinary evidence is something that only the person requesting it can define. This is why this idea can't be applied to evidentiary rules in a courtroom. Standards of evidence must be well known, defined, and standardized as applied to all parties. What constitute acceptable evidence and how it will be evaluated can't be defined just by one party, nor can that party be relieved from presenting refuting evidence if requested. This argument gives an incredible advantage and control over any decision to the party claiming the need for extraordinary evidence. Again, a reason why this is unacceptable to legal proceedings or even historical analysis.
An additional problem is the issue of world-view presuppositions. Some conflicts of opinions are based on their presuppositions. They make different assumptions and reach different conclusions as a result of those foundational positions that affect how the evaluate reality. Giving one side the power to define evidence, and then become judge, prosecutor, and jury over the validity and meaning of said evidence means that for some issues no amount of evidence will ever be sufficient since at the heart of the matter the real problem is not the evidence but the presuppositions pro or against it of the arbiter. For example, in this case, statistical evidence should be considered if the success rate is more than the rate of mere chance. This is evidence that something more than chance is at work. It doesn't prove what is happening, but it does proves that something is happening. A presupposition bias may ignore this and require an arbitrary higher success rate before discarding chance, or even bypass this type of statistical evidence all together, even though the statistical possibility of chance has already been eliminated.
I hope you get an idea of my position. I know you will disagree, but if we agreed we wouldn't be having this conversation. My intention is not to convince, just to share my opinion with you. Consider visiting us at Political Arena. It can get a little intense there, but is never dull.
And now, back to the OP...