The original reports of low infectivity appear to have been optimismistic. But we still have no reports of droplet transmission - if it were really infective, one would think that the people traveling on planes with the infectied individuals would have begun to display symptoms by now.
There's a family of 5-6 in China who all tested positive for 2019-nCoV after visiting with relatives from Wuhan. The 10 year old was asymptomatic, but popping him in the scanner showed his lungs had signs of pneumonia.
They've confirmed multiple cases of 2nd and 3rd generation transmission. That's why I stated that we'll know for sure in about 2 weeks.
There are still a lot of flights coming in from China. The mayor of Wuhan stated that a few million residents had left the city for Chinese New Year, before the quarantine took effect, and we aren't flagging the flights that aren't directly from Wuhan.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...holding-information-coronavirus-outbreak.html
Not trying to start a panic, but keep your ears to the ground. If you're in a position to do so, consider stocking up on essentials ahead of time. A little extra stored food/provisions and sanitary products won't hurt, and are things that will be used anyway, even if this ends up blowing over fairly quickly.
If we DO see a sudden jump in cases here in the next 10-14 days, the news cycle will blast it 24/7, and folks trying to stock up then, will be competing with the panicked hordes.
The rate of increase in numbers in China is alarming. The CDC's statements of "low-risk to US citizens at this time"...
- the incubation period for 2019-nCoV seems to be as long as 10-14 days
- infected persons are contagious before becoming symptomatic. Some infected may not even become symptomatic, but are still contagious
- an increasing number of doctors and other healthcare workers in Wuhan, are confirmed to have caught 2019-nCoV while tending to patients